
Jeffrey Funk is the winner of the NTT DoCoMo Mobile Science Award and the author of six books including his most recent one: Unicorns, Hype and Bubbles: A Guide to Spotting, Avoiding and Exploiting Investment Bubbles In Tech.
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The Job Market is Telling Us Something About AI and Jobs…
But it’s not telling us the same things as the AI hypesters are telling us
AI Productivity Hype: The New “Cargo Cult Science”?
Physicist Richard Feynman coined the term to describe imaginary scenarios for success based on simple misunderstanding of realities
AI’s Contradictory Impact on Productivity: Squeezing a Balloon
AI appears to give support workers a big revolution in productivity. But it is somewhat like a child squeezing a balloon; the air pushes out someplace else
University Science War: Ideas vs “Dollars per Net Square Footage”
Katalin Karikó, obscure and mistreated at the University of Pennsylvania, won the Nobel Prize. Shouldn’t we have some questions?
Today’s Startups Are Doing Much Worse Than Those of the Past
The percentage of startups profitable at IPO time has steadily declined since the 1980s and most valuable ones take longer to become profitable
Why LLMs Are Not Boosting Productivity
If LLMs were as reliably useful as economist Tyler Cowen alleges, businesses would be using them to generate profits faster than LLMs generate text. They aren’t.
Does Everyone Think We Should Exaggerate Scientific Advances?
Many “breakthroughs” reported breathlessly in media are nowhere close to resulting in usable products or services
Unequal Profits: Why AI Needs Successful Applications
Readers may be surprised to learn that these widely touted AI advances are not making their developers much money
Do High AI Startup Valuations Mean Great Success, or Desperation?
The answer is important but is not as clear as we might think. First, let's look at the background
The Promise of Artificial General Intelligence is Evaporating
Revenue from corporate adoption of AI continues to disappoint and, so far, pales in comparison to the revenue that sustained the dot-com bubble — until it didn’t
AI Adoption is Slowing Amidst the “Biggest Gamble in Business History”
Workers and companies aren't buying the AI hype
AI Pessimists vs True Believers: A Deepening Divide
There is a growing divide about AI even among AI experts but many of them like polarizing content, just as the consumers of political information do
No, the AI Bubble is Nothing Like the Dotcom Bubble
Don't listen to the tech bros on this one
A Sloppy “AI Scientist” Could Make the Science Crisis Much Worse
A research team claims to have developed the AI Scientist that “generates novel research ideas, writes code, executes experiments ...” Really?
AI Increased the Market Cap of the Magnificent Seven by $10 Trillion. Will it last?
AI is here to stay, just not in these insanely high share prices
Are We Close to Peak AI Hype?
Outrageous statements are proliferating.
Musk and LeCun Have a Superficial Debate About Science
What would have been a better debate?
Hype Distracts AI Engineers from Real Work
Who is going to solve AI's actual problems?